Service Demand Planning Splits From Production Logic
Production forecasting assumes demand arrives against orders and behaves smoothly enough for conventional statistical methods, while service demand is intermittent, lumpy and driven by installed base failure rather than by anything the sales function does. Applying one to the other produces inventory at roughly 3.4 times requirement in the wrong places, with stockouts and expediting alongside. Purpose-built service planning uses failure distributions and installed base position instead, which is different mathematics rather than a configuration option. Growth at 15.9% against a market at 10.6% reflects finance functions finally noticing the capital involved.
Market Impact: Protects 58% of profit








