Initial fills dominate demand and construction sets the curve
An electrode plant requires around 900 tonnes of solvent to charge its mixing, coating and recovery systems before producing anything, and thereafter replaces roughly 4% of that annually because recovery returns nearly everything. The consequence is that demand tracks commissioning schedules rather than production volumes, and those diverge sharply once a construction wave completes. Producers extrapolating from cell output forecasts substantially overstate future consumption. Commercially this means a capacity decision taken during a gigafactory boom faces a demand cliff rather than a plateau, which several producers are discovering rather uncomfortably at present.
Market Impact: Takes 54% of total demand








