Flame Retardant Substitution Runs As A Treadmill
Each restricted brominated compound has been replaced by another brominated compound rather than by a different chemistry, and the replacement attracts comparable regulatory scrutiny roughly eleven years afterwards. Flame retardants still carry 44% of derivative demand through all of it. Producers plan formulation pipelines around that cycle rather than around any endpoint, which is a rational response to a pattern that has held for three decades now. Producers running parallel formulation pipelines survive restrictions that strand single-product competitors entirely. That is the whole defence available. Nothing else has worked. Nobody plans past it.
Market Impact: Substitution cycles run 11 years








